S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

For all things financial
User avatar
jaffab
Posts: 164
Joined: Tue Jan 24, 2017 3:08 pm

S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by jaffab »

.... Is that a rumble I hear?

So some interesting numbers appeared this week, and some interesting articles with those interesting numbers. And when I say interesting, I mean down right soil yourself scary.

First of all, some number crunching by money week shows that China is hording gold like it's running out, and could soon take over from the US as the world's gold bank....

http://moneyweek.com/money-morning-china-gold-pile/

Of course, in fairness China has been grabbing all kinds of commodities from all over the planet as fast as it can for the past 15 to 20 years. And it it has made it clear that it wants the yen to replace the dollar for all oil, gold, and diamond exchanges in the next 10 years.

Then, for your enjoyment we have these stats that show the S&P500 (standard and poor credit risk agency valuation to trade index of us top 500 companies) has stocks overvalued by 3 times company value, stocks being levereged for more buying, and credit borrowing on the up with the conclusion we are in the mother of all bubbles...

http://dollarcollapse.com/money-bubble/ ... k-up-boom/

And of course, in the last 9 days we have seen almost every single us market index hit an all time high. What has gone up, has to come down at some point.

Talk it all with a pinch of salt. But if I was in charge of the US fed, I would be permantly drunk and\or off my head on drugs.
You live in a time of decay, when the worth of a man is how much he can pay (Flamboyant, Pet Shop Boys, 2006)
User avatar
sethorly
Posts: 389
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2016 6:33 pm

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by sethorly »

The S&P 500 pe ratio isn't that unusual.
=======
Plymton wrote:Klingon ass scratcher
=======
Area 8
=======
User avatar
raz
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun Sep 28, 2014 9:28 pm
Location: Cumbria

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by raz »

china isnt the only country trying to replace the dollar and id say its no secret why they have been buying so much gold.. the B.R.I.C.S nations are trying to set up a system backed by gold instead of the fiat system currently in place. if u check out Brazil, Russia, India & South Africa they have been increasing the national reserves for a couple of years now. if anything it would give me more confidence in my PMs if they get it up & running :)
User avatar
jaffab
Posts: 164
Joined: Tue Jan 24, 2017 3:08 pm

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by jaffab »

sethorly wrote:The S&P 500 pe ratio isn't that unusual.
I agree. But look at chart 3, every time it has been this high, it is just before a 'readjustment' as they are calling in on Boomberg. They were interviewing the little old lady from the Fed this morning, and she said a major 'readjustment' is imminent.
You live in a time of decay, when the worth of a man is how much he can pay (Flamboyant, Pet Shop Boys, 2006)
User avatar
Brambles
Posts: 3093
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2011 8:09 am
Location: West Midlands

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by Brambles »

Does that mean house prices are going down?
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass, it's about learning to dance in the rain~anon
Mortblanc
Posts: 224
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2015 5:03 pm
Location: Kentucky Mountains, USA

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by Mortblanc »

I do enjoy the conversations generated when the ravings of a gold sales company's website are used as a replacement for real news.
User avatar
jaffab
Posts: 164
Joined: Tue Jan 24, 2017 3:08 pm

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by jaffab »

Well, all news is biased way way or another, and I take all news with a big pinch of salt. And yes, the dollar collapse web site is there to sell gold and silver. But Bloomberg talked almost the exact same numbers on Tuesday. Those raving nutty Bloomberg folks. :)

As for house prices dropping, I would not imagine so. Can't see that happening until UK interest rates start to go up, and that is not going to happen for an awfully long time. They may go up .25% or even .5% in the next 6-12 mths, but that will only be a temporary rise to create a drop zone to deal with problems in the future.
You live in a time of decay, when the worth of a man is how much he can pay (Flamboyant, Pet Shop Boys, 2006)
womble
Posts: 106
Joined: Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:34 pm

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by womble »

S&P has been climbing on the back of speculators' hopes for a Wild West of the stock market under Trump's "business-friendly" low-regulation administration. It has even less than usual to do with the actual economic performance of the concerns whose stocks are being traded at ever-more-inflated prices.

Still, doesn't stop us all catching a cold in the ol' pension fund when the bubble bursts.
User avatar
jaffab
Posts: 164
Joined: Tue Jan 24, 2017 3:08 pm

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by jaffab »

102% agree with this. See, I can do trump economics as well.
You live in a time of decay, when the worth of a man is how much he can pay (Flamboyant, Pet Shop Boys, 2006)
TeeDee

Re: S&P way over valued, debt soaring, and china hording...

Post by TeeDee »

jaffab wrote:Well, all news is biased way way or another, and I take all news with a big pinch of salt. And yes, the dollar collapse web site is there to sell gold and silver. But Bloomberg talked almost the exact same numbers on Tuesday. Those raving nutty Bloomberg folks. :)

As for house prices dropping, I would not imagine so. Can't see that happening until UK interest rates start to go up, and that is not going to happen for an awfully long time. They may go up .25% or even .5% in the next 6-12 mths, but that will only be a temporary rise to create a drop zone to deal with problems in the future.

My thoughts also.