Awesome amount of support and very unexpected
Thankyou everyone
Yes, trying to think of every possible outcome and know a way through it ! As has been said, no one knows how Russia and Ukraine will end, peacefully or ww3 and possibly nukes
I have iodine ready too, and I'm fortunate to live outside a major city, London being closest but still 20 miles as the crow flies.
I'm taking my best educated guess, and think the war will be unresolved for quite some time, and I think inflation will keep rising into next year when energy price cap increases again.
Buying long life food is an investment!
So, I think we will have shortages becoming apparent in UK quite soon, and if the shortages trigger panic buying - we will all be glad we prepared, if no panic buying..... At least we can say we got things cheaper because prices must increase as the cost of fuel goes up.
I was thinking wheat would be our first shortage but if we can make it till harvest season, judging by the huge amount of wheat in the fields vs rape, we should have a bumper crop of wheat this year! It's hard to spot rape fields this year! I wonder
I think our biggest immediate threat is when the word gets mainstream, and people buy the oats, rice, tins..... And they can't be replaced because of staff shortages.... The panic buying will be harder and longer to fix this time around! With less in supply, more expensive deliveries, staff shortages and perhaps the actual products that do get restocked will just be snapped up so fast again because unlike last time, this problem isn't going away even if the war ends due to price of fertilizer ( and shortages because they mostly come from Russia) and farmers throwing in the towel!....
We have a recipe for disaster and I'm quite surprised so many people are carrying on as if nothing will happen! At least this gives us lot time to source the good stuff!